The model estimates 0.53 goals for Naval 1893 and 1.25 for Os Marialvas. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Naval 1893 and 6 for Os Marialvas, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Os Marialvas · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Naval 1893 is going head to head with Os Marialvas on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 22.
Naval 1893 take on Os Marialvas in the Campeonato de Portugal on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
Naval 1893 are currently placed 42nd in the table with 7 points, while Os Marialvas occupy 2nd position with 19 points.
Naval 1893 come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Os Marialvas have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Naval 1893 have 1 win against Os Marialvas, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Os Marialvas to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 1.78. Over 2.5: 26%. BTTS: 31%.




Naval 1893 have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Naval 1893's last 6 matches.
Naval 1893 have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Os Marialvas are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Os Marialvas have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Os Marialvas have won 5 of their last 6 matches.