The model estimates 1.12 goals for Os Marialvas and 0.68 for Alverca B. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Os Marialvas and 6 for Alverca B, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Os Marialvas · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Os Marialvas is going head to head with Alverca B on March 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 23.
Os Marialvas take on Alverca B in the Campeonato de Portugal on 21 March 2027 at 00:00.
Os Marialvas are currently placed 6th in the table with 13 points, while Alverca B occupy 33rd position with 6 points.
Os Marialvas come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alverca B have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Os Marialvas have yet to beat Alverca B, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Os Marialvas to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.80. Over 2.5: 27%. BTTS: 35%.




In their last 6 matches, Os Marialvas have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Os Marialvas have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Os Marialvas's last 6 matches.
Alverca B have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Alverca B have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Alverca B's last 6 matches.