The model estimates 0.74 goals for Nogueirense and 1.23 for Os Marialvas. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nogueirense and 6 for Os Marialvas, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Os Marialvas · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nogueirense is going head to head with Os Marialvas on April 04, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 24.
Nogueirense take on Os Marialvas in the Campeonato de Portugal on 4 April 2027 at 00:00.
Nogueirense are currently placed 32nd in the table with 7 points, while Os Marialvas occupy 6th position with 13 points.
Nogueirense come into this match with 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Os Marialvas have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Os Marialvas to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 1.96. Over 2.5: 31%. BTTS: 38%.




In their last 6 matches, Nogueirense have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Nogueirense have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Nogueirense's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Os Marialvas have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Os Marialvas have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Os Marialvas's last 6 matches.