The model estimates 1.99 goals for SB Castelo Branco and 1.37 for Sertanense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for SB Castelo Branco and 6 for Sertanense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: SB Castelo Branco · 67%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
SB Castelo Branco is going head to head with Sertanense on April 04, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 24.
SB Castelo Branco take on Sertanense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 4 April 2027 at 00:00.
SB Castelo Branco are currently placed 18th in the table with 9 points, while Sertanense occupy 46th position with 4 points.
SB Castelo Branco come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sertanense have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, SB Castelo Branco have 5 wins against Sertanense, with 8 draws.
Prediction: SB Castelo Branco to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.36. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 66%.
SB SERSB SERSB SERSB SERSB SERSB SERSB SERSB SERSB SERThere have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
SB Castelo Branco score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Sertanense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sertanense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sertanense's last 6 matches.
