The model estimates 2.34 goals for Os Belenenses and 1.27 for Mafra. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Os Belenenses and 6 for Mafra, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Os Belenenses · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Os Belenenses is going head to head with Mafra on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 15.
Os Belenenses take on Mafra in the Liga 3 on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Os Belenenses are currently placed 1st in the table with 17 points, while Mafra occupy 9th position with 9 points.
Os Belenenses come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mafra have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Os Belenenses have 3 wins against Mafra, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Os Belenenses to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.60. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 66%.




Os Belenenses are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Os Belenenses have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Os Belenenses have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Mafra have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Mafra's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mafra have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.