The model estimates 2.08 goals for Mafra and 1.31 for Santarem. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mafra and 6 for Santarem, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mafra · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mafra is going head to head with Santarem on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 18.
Mafra take on Santarem in the Liga 3 on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Mafra are currently placed 9th in the table with 9 points, while Santarem occupy 8th position with 10 points.
Mafra come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Santarem have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Mafra have 3 wins against Santarem, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Mafra to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.39. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 65%.
MAFSANMAFSANMAFSANMAFSANMAFSANMAFSANMAFSANMAFSANMAFSANMafra have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Mafra's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mafra have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Santarem have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Santarem's last 6 matches.
Santarem concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
