The model estimates 2.26 goals for Mafra and 1.37 for Caldas. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mafra and 6 for Caldas, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mafra · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mafra is going head to head with Caldas on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 16.
Mafra take on Caldas in the Liga 3 on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Mafra are currently placed 9th in the table with 9 points, while Caldas occupy 15th position with 8 points.
Mafra come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Caldas have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Mafra have 3 wins against Caldas, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Mafra to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.63. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 68%.
MAFCALMAFCALMAFCALMAFCALMAFCALMAFCALMAFCALMAFCALMAFCALMafra have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Mafra's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mafra have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Caldas have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Caldas have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Caldas have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
