The model estimates 1.62 goals for Louletano and 1.80 for Mafra. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Louletano and 6 for Mafra, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mafra · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Louletano is going head to head with Mafra on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 17.
Louletano take on Mafra in the Liga 3 on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Louletano are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Mafra occupy 9th position with 9 points.
Louletano come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mafra have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Mafra have 2 wins against Louletano.
Prediction: Mafra to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.42. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 68%.




Louletano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Louletano's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Louletano's last 6 matches.
Mafra have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Mafra's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mafra have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.