The model estimates 1.51 goals for Auxerre and 2.13 for Olympique Marseille. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Auxerre and 6 for Olympique Marseille, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Olympique Marseille · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Auxerre is going head to head with Olympique Marseille on November 28, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 12.
Auxerre take on Olympique Marseille in the Ligue 1 on 28 November 2026 at 16:00.
Auxerre are currently placed 14th in the table with 10 points, while Olympique Marseille occupy 6th position with 15 points.
Auxerre come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Olympique Marseille have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 33 recorded meetings, Olympique Marseille have 17 wins against Auxerre, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Olympique Marseille to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.64. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 70%.
AUXOLYAUXOLYAUXOLYAUXOLYAUXOLYAUXOLYAUXOLYAUXOLYAUXOLYBoth teams have scored in 5 of Auxerre's last 6 matches.
Auxerre have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Auxerre's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Olympique Marseille have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Olympique Marseille have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Olympique Marseille have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
