The model estimates 3.01 goals for Norwich City and 0.99 for Derby. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Norwich City and 6 for Derby, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Norwich City · 60%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Norwich City is going head to head with Derby on January 26, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 28.
Norwich City take on Derby in the Championship on 26 January 2027 at 00:00.
Norwich City are currently placed 12th in the table with 21 points, while Derby occupy 23rd position with 10 points.
Norwich City come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derby have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Norwich City have 1 win against Derby.
Prediction: Norwich City to win with probability 69%. Most likely scoreline: 3-0. Avg goals: 4.00. Over 2.5: 76%. BTTS: 60%.




In their last 6 matches, Norwich City have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Norwich City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Norwich City's last 6 matches.
Derby have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Derby have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.