The model estimates 1.15 goals for Nice and 1.54 for Lens. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nice and 6 for Lens, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lens · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nice is going head to head with Lens on December 12, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 14.
Nice take on Lens in the Ligue 1 on 12 December 2026 at 19:00.
Nice are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while Lens occupy 8th position with 11 points.
Nice come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lens have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 98 recorded meetings, Lens have 37 wins against Nice, with 25 draws.
Prediction: Lens to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.69. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 55%.
NICLENNICLENNICLENNICLENNICLENNICLENNICLENNICLENNICLENBoth teams have scored in 5 of Nice's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nice have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Nice's last 6 matches.
Lens have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lens's last 6 matches.
Lens concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
