The model estimates 1.24 goals for Nazarenos and 1.37 for Malveira. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nazarenos and 6 for Malveira, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Nazarenos · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nazarenos is going head to head with Malveira on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 16.
Nazarenos take on Malveira in the Campeonato de Portugal on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Nazarenos are currently placed 38th in the table with 8 points, while Malveira occupy 18th position with 12 points.
Nazarenos come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Malveira have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Malveira have 1 win against Nazarenos.
Prediction: Malveira to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.62. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 55%.




In their last 6 matches, Nazarenos have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Nazarenos have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Nazarenos's last 6 matches.
Malveira are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Malveira have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Malveira's last 6 matches.