The model estimates 1.68 goals for Os Marialvas and 0.62 for Nazarenos. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Os Marialvas and 6 for Nazarenos, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Os Marialvas · 73%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Os Marialvas is going head to head with Nazarenos on February 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 17.
Os Marialvas take on Nazarenos in the Campeonato de Portugal on 7 February 2027 at 00:00.
Os Marialvas are currently placed 6th in the table with 13 points, while Nazarenos occupy 48th position with 4 points.
Os Marialvas come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nazarenos have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Os Marialvas have 1 win against Nazarenos.
Prediction: Os Marialvas to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.30. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 39%.




In their last 6 matches, Os Marialvas have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Os Marialvas have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Os Marialvas's last 6 matches.
Nazarenos have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Nazarenos have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Nazarenos's last 6 matches.