The model estimates 1.67 goals for Malveira and 1.46 for SB Castelo Branco. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Malveira and 6 for SB Castelo Branco, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Malveira · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Malveira is going head to head with SB Castelo Branco on November 01, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 7.
Malveira take on SB Castelo Branco in the Campeonato de Portugal on 1 November 2026 at 18:00.
Malveira are currently placed 27th in the table with 8 points, while SB Castelo Branco occupy 18th position with 9 points.
Malveira come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas SB Castelo Branco have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Malveira to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.13. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 64%.




In their last 6 matches, Malveira have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Malveira have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Malveira concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
SB Castelo Branco score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.