The model estimates 1.77 goals for Nazarenos and 1.68 for Fatima. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nazarenos and 6 for Fatima, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fatima · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nazarenos is going head to head with Fatima on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 18.
Nazarenos take on Fatima in the Campeonato de Portugal on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
Nazarenos are currently placed 48th in the table with 4 points, while Fatima occupy 39th position with 5 points.
Nazarenos come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fatima have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Nazarenos have 1 win against Fatima.
Prediction: Nazarenos to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.44. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 69%.
NAZFATNAZFATNAZFATNAZFATNAZFATNAZFATNAZFATNAZFATNAZFATNazarenos have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Nazarenos have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Nazarenos's last 6 matches.
Fatima have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Fatima's last 6 matches.
Fatima score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
