The model estimates 1.89 goals for Napoli and 0.83 for Lecce. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Napoli and 6 for Lecce, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Napoli · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Napoli is going head to head with Lecce on December 06, 2026 at 20:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 14.
Napoli take on Lecce in the Serie A on 6 December 2026 at 20:30.
Napoli are currently placed 10th in the table with 11 points, while Lecce occupy 12th position with 9 points.
Napoli come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lecce have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 38 recorded meetings, Napoli have 17 wins against Lecce, with 15 draws.
Prediction: Napoli to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.71. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 49%.




In their last 6 matches, Napoli have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Napoli have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Napoli score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Lecce have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lecce's last 6 matches.