The model estimates 1.42 goals for Lecce and 1.51 for Sassuolo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lecce and 6 for Sassuolo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lecce · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lecce is going head to head with Sassuolo on December 13, 2026 at 20:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 15.
Lecce take on Sassuolo in the Serie A on 13 December 2026 at 20:30.
Lecce are currently placed 14th in the table with 9 points, while Sassuolo occupy 15th position with 8 points.
Lecce come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sassuolo have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, Sassuolo have 4 wins against Lecce, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Sassuolo to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.92. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 60%.




Lecce have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lecce's last 6 matches.
Sassuolo have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Sassuolo's last 6 matches.
Sassuolo have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.