European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 1.28 goals for Atalanta and 1.79 for Napoli. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Atalanta and 6 for Napoli, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Napoli · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Atalanta is going head to head with Napoli on December 20, 2026 at 20:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 16.
Atalanta take on Napoli in the Serie A on 20 December 2026 at 20:30.
Atalanta are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Napoli occupy 7th position with 14 points.
Atalanta come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Napoli have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 122 recorded meetings, Napoli have 52 wins against Atalanta, with 35 draws.
Prediction: Napoli to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.06. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 61%.
ATANAPATANAPATANAPATANAPATANAPATANAPATANAPATANAPATANAPAtalanta have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Napoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Napoli score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Napoli have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 away matches.
