The model estimates 1.90 goals for Como and 0.73 for Lecce. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Como and 6 for Lecce, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Como · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Como is going head to head with Lecce on January 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 17.
Como take on Lecce in the Serie A on 3 January 2027 at 00:00.
Como are currently placed 4th in the table with 17 points, while Lecce occupy 12th position with 9 points.
Como come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lecce have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Como to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.64. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 45%.




In their last 6 matches, Como have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Como have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Como score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Lecce have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lecce's last 6 matches.