The model estimates 1.75 goals for Napoli and 1.33 for AC Milan. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Napoli and 6 for AC Milan, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Napoli · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Napoli is going head to head with AC Milan on December 13, 2026 at 20:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 15.
Napoli take on AC Milan in the Serie A on 13 December 2026 at 20:30.
Napoli are currently placed 7th in the table with 14 points, while AC Milan occupy 5th position with 18 points.
Napoli come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AC Milan have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Napoli to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.08. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 62%.




In their last 6 matches, Napoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Napoli score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Napoli's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, AC Milan have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of AC Milan's last 6 matches.
AC Milan score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.