The model estimates 1.45 goals for Nacional Madeira and 1.64 for Marítimo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nacional Madeira and 6 for Marítimo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Marítimo · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nacional Madeira is going head to head with Marítimo on April 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 29.
Nacional Madeira take on Marítimo in the Primeira Liga on 11 April 2027 at 00:00.
Nacional Madeira are currently placed 15th in the table with 7 points, while Marítimo occupy 14th position with 8 points.
Nacional Madeira come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Marítimo have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 46 recorded meetings, Marítimo have 16 wins against Nacional Madeira, with 18 draws.
Prediction: Marítimo to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.09. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 63%.




Nacional Madeira have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Nacional Madeira have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Nacional Madeira's last 6 matches.
Marítimo have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Marítimo have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Marítimo's last 6 matches.