The model estimates 1.19 goals for Marítimo and 2.75 for Sporting CP. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Marítimo and 6 for Sporting CP, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sporting CP · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Marítimo is going head to head with Sporting CP on April 18, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 30.
Marítimo take on Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga on 18 April 2027 at 00:00.
Marítimo are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Sporting CP occupy 3rd position with 18 points.
Marítimo come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sporting CP have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 100 recorded meetings, Sporting CP have 68 wins against Marítimo, with 16 draws.
Prediction: Sporting CP to win with probability 60%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.94. Over 2.5: 75%. BTTS: 66%.




Marítimo have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Marítimo have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Marítimo's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sporting CP have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sporting CP's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sporting CP's last 6 matches.