The model estimates 2.06 goals for Moreirense and 1.31 for Nacional Madeira. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Moreirense and 6 for Nacional Madeira, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Moreirense · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Moreirense is going head to head with Nacional Madeira on May 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 32.
Moreirense take on Nacional Madeira in the Primeira Liga on 2 May 2027 at 00:00.
Moreirense are currently placed 10th in the table with 11 points, while Nacional Madeira occupy 15th position with 7 points.
Moreirense come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nacional Madeira have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Moreirense to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.37. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 65%.




Moreirense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Moreirense's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Moreirense's last 6 matches.
Nacional Madeira have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Nacional Madeira have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Nacional Madeira's last 6 matches.