The model estimates 1.29 goals for Motril and 1.17 for Melilla. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Motril and 6 for Melilla, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Motril · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Motril is going head to head with Melilla on November 29, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 9 — Round 13.
Motril take on Melilla in the Spain Tercera Division Group 9 on 29 November 2026 at 19:00.
Motril are currently placed 5th in the table with 16 points, while Melilla occupy 1st position with 22 points.
Motril come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Melilla have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Motril to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.47. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 52%.
In their last 6 matches, Motril have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Motril's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Motril's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Melilla have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Melilla have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Melilla's last 6 matches.
