The model estimates 0.94 goals for Mancha and 1.29 for Motril. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mancha and 6 for Motril, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Motril · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mancha is going head to head with Motril on December 13, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 9 — Round 16.
Mancha take on Motril in the Spain Tercera Division Group 9 on 13 December 2026 at 19:00.
Mancha are currently placed 16th in the table with 6 points, while Motril occupy 4th position with 15 points.
Mancha come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Motril have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Mancha have 5 wins against Motril, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Motril to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.23. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 46%.
Mancha have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Mancha concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Mancha's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Motril have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Motril have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Motril's last 6 matches.