The model estimates 1.20 goals for Melilla and 0.59 for Marbellí. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Melilla and 6 for Marbellí, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Melilla · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Melilla is going head to head with Marbellí on December 08, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 9 — Round 15.
Melilla take on Marbellí in the Spain Tercera Division Group 9 on 8 December 2026 at 19:00.
Melilla are currently placed 1st in the table with 21 points, while Marbellí occupy 7th position with 14 points.
Melilla come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Marbellí have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Melilla to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.79. Over 2.5: 27%. BTTS: 33%.


In their last 6 matches, Melilla have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Melilla have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Melilla's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Marbellí's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Marbellí have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Marbellí have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.