The model estimates 1.05 goals for Marbellí and 0.80 for Motril. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Marbellí and 6 for Motril, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Marbellí · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Marbellí is going head to head with Motril on December 06, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 9 — Round 14.
Marbellí take on Motril in the Spain Tercera Division Group 9 on 6 December 2026 at 19:00.
Marbellí are currently placed 7th in the table with 14 points, while Motril occupy 4th position with 15 points.
Marbellí come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Motril have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Motril have 1 win against Marbellí, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Marbellí to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.86. Over 2.5: 28%. BTTS: 38%.
MARMARMARMARMARMARMARMARMARThere have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Marbellí's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Marbellí have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Marbellí have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Motril have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Motril have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Motril's last 6 matches.
