The model estimates 1.31 goals for Arenas Armilla and 1.00 for Melilla. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arenas Armilla and 6 for Melilla, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arenas Armilla · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arenas Armilla is going head to head with Melilla on December 13, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 9 — Round 16.
Arenas Armilla take on Melilla in the Spain Tercera Division Group 9 on 13 December 2026 at 19:00.
Arenas Armilla are currently placed 2nd in the table with 18 points, while Melilla occupy 1st position with 21 points.
Arenas Armilla come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Melilla have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Melilla have 1 win against Arenas Armilla, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Arenas Armilla to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.31. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 48%.
Arenas Armilla are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Arenas Armilla have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Arenas Armilla's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Melilla have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Melilla have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Melilla's last 6 matches.