The model estimates 4.84 goals for Lugano and 1.15 for Kauno Zalgiris. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lugano and 2 for Kauno Zalgiris, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lugano · 80%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lugano is going head to head with Kauno Zalgiris on November 05, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Europa Conference League — Round 3.
Lugano take on Kauno Zalgiris in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 5 November 2026 at 20:00.
Lugano are currently placed 2nd in the table with 6 points, while Kauno Zalgiris occupy 36th position with 0 points.
Lugano come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Kauno Zalgiris have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 2 completed matches.
Prediction: Lugano to win with probability 80%. Most likely scoreline: 4-1. Avg goals: 5.99. Over 2.5: 93%. BTTS: 68%.


In their last 6 matches, Lugano have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Lugano's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Lugano's last 6 matches.