The model estimates 2.06 goals for Moralo and 0.67 for Santa Amalia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Moralo and 6 for Santa Amalia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Moralo · 72%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Moralo is going head to head with Santa Amalia on February 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 21.
Moralo take on Santa Amalia in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 7 February 2027 at 00:00.
Moralo are currently placed 2nd in the table with 18 points, while Santa Amalia occupy 12th position with 9 points.
Moralo come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Santa Amalia have 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, Moralo have 9 wins against Santa Amalia, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Moralo to win with probability 64%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.73. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 44%.


In their last 6 matches, Moralo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Moralo's last 6 matches.
Moralo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Santa Amalia have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Santa Amalia have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Santa Amalia's last 6 matches.