The model estimates 1.26 goals for Midtjylland and 1.97 for Ajax. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Midtjylland and 6 for Ajax, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ajax · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Midtjylland is going head to head with Ajax on November 05, 2026 at 17:45. This match is part of UEFA Europa Conference League — Round 3.
Midtjylland take on Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 5 November 2026 at 17:45.
Midtjylland are currently placed 26th in the table with 1 points, while Ajax occupy 13th position with 3 points.
Midtjylland come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ajax have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Ajax to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.23. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 63%.
MIDAJAMIDAJAMIDAJAMIDAJAMIDAJAMIDAJAMIDAJAMIDAJAMIDAJAMidtjylland have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Midtjylland's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Midtjylland have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Ajax's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Ajax's last 6 matches.
Ajax score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
