The model estimates 2.10 goals for Pafos and 1.75 for Midtjylland. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Pafos and 6 for Midtjylland, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Pafos · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Pafos is going head to head with Midtjylland on November 26, 2026 at 17:45. This match is part of UEFA Europa Conference League — Round 4.
Pafos take on Midtjylland in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 26 November 2026 at 17:45.
Pafos are currently placed 27th in the table with 1 points, while Midtjylland occupy 26th position with 1 points.
Pafos come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Midtjylland have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Pafos to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.85. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 73%.




Pafos have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Pafos's last 6 matches.
Pafos concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Midtjylland have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Midtjylland's last 6 matches.
Midtjylland have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.