The model estimates 2.27 goals for Ajax and 1.36 for Getafe. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ajax and 6 for Getafe, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ajax · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ajax is going head to head with Getafe on December 17, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Europa Conference League — Round 6.
Ajax take on Getafe in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 17 December 2026 at 20:00.
Ajax are currently placed 13th in the table with 3 points, while Getafe occupy 30th position with 1 points.
Ajax come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Getafe have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Ajax to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.63. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 68%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Ajax's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Ajax's last 6 matches.
Ajax score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Getafe have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Getafe have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Getafe concede an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.