European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 1.39 goals for St. Truiden and 1.41 for Ajax. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for St. Truiden and 6 for Ajax, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: St. Truiden · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
St. Truiden is going head to head with Ajax on December 10, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Europa Conference League — Round 5.
St. Truiden take on Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 10 December 2026 at 20:00.
St. Truiden are currently placed 7th in the table with 6 points, while Ajax occupy 13th position with 3 points.
St. Truiden come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ajax have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: St. Truiden to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.80. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 58%.
ST.AJAST.AJAST.AJAST.AJAST.AJAST.AJAST.AJAST.AJAST.AJASt. Truiden have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
St. Truiden have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of St. Truiden's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Ajax's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Ajax's last 6 matches.
Ajax score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
