The model estimates 2.10 goals for Merthyr Town and 1.47 for Hebburn Town. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Merthyr Town and 6 for Hebburn Town, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Merthyr Town · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Merthyr Town is going head to head with Hebburn Town on November 07, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 16.
Merthyr Town take on Hebburn Town in the England National League North on 7 November 2026 at 15:00.
Merthyr Town are currently placed 19th in the table with 16 points, while Hebburn Town occupy 14th position with 20 points.
Merthyr Town come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hebburn Town have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Merthyr Town to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.57. Over 2.5: 69%. BTTS: 69%.




Merthyr Town have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Merthyr Town's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Merthyr Town's last 6 matches.
Hebburn Town have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Hebburn Town's last 6 matches.
Hebburn Town have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.