The model estimates 1.48 goals for Merthyr Town and 1.35 for Bedford. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Merthyr Town and 6 for Bedford, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Merthyr Town · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Merthyr Town is going head to head with Bedford on November 24, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of England National League North — Round 18.
Merthyr Town take on Bedford in the England National League North on 24 November 2026 at 19:45.
Merthyr Town are currently placed 20th in the table with 15 points, while Bedford occupy 7th position with 22 points.
Merthyr Town come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bedford have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Merthyr Town have 2 wins against Bedford.
Prediction: Merthyr Town to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.83. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 59%.




Merthyr Town have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Merthyr Town have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Merthyr Town's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bedford have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Bedford have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bedford's last 6 away matches.