The model estimates 1.93 goals for Melilla and 0.52 for Mancha. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Melilla and 6 for Mancha, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Melilla · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Melilla is going head to head with Mancha on December 20, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 9 — Round 17.
Melilla take on Mancha in the Spain Tercera Division Group 9 on 20 December 2026 at 19:00.
Melilla are currently placed 1st in the table with 21 points, while Mancha occupy 16th position with 6 points.
Melilla come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mancha have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Mancha have 2 wins against Melilla, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Melilla to win with probability 64%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.46. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 36%.
In their last 6 matches, Melilla have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Melilla have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Melilla's last 6 matches.
Mancha have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Mancha concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.