The model estimates 1.27 goals for Marbellí and 0.50 for Mancha. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Marbellí and 6 for Mancha, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Marbellí · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Marbellí is going head to head with Mancha on January 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 9 — Round 18.
Marbellí take on Mancha in the Spain Tercera Division Group 9 on 3 January 2027 at 00:00.
Marbellí are currently placed 7th in the table with 14 points, while Mancha occupy 16th position with 6 points.
Marbellí come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mancha have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Marbellí have 3 wins against Mancha, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Marbellí to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.77. Over 2.5: 26%. BTTS: 30%.


There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Marbellí's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Marbellí have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Marbellí have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Mancha have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Mancha concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.