The model estimates 0.82 goals for Marbellí and 0.80 for Arenas Armilla. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Marbellí and 6 for Arenas Armilla, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Draw · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Marbellí is going head to head with Arenas Armilla on December 20, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 9 — Round 17.
Marbellí take on Arenas Armilla in the Spain Tercera Division Group 9 on 20 December 2026 at 19:00.
Marbellí are currently placed 7th in the table with 15 points, while Arenas Armilla occupy 2nd position with 19 points.
Marbellí come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arenas Armilla have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Arenas Armilla have 2 wins against Marbellí, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Marbellí and Arenas Armilla to draw with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.62. Over 2.5: 22%. BTTS: 32%.
MARMARMARMARMARMARMARMARMARThere have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Marbellí's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Marbellí have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Marbellí have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Arenas Armilla are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Arenas Armilla have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Arenas Armilla have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
