The model estimates 1.42 goals for Mbeya City and 1.36 for Pamba. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mbeya City and 6 for Pamba, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mbeya City · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mbeya City is going head to head with Pamba on December 04, 2026 at 16:15. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 14.
Mbeya City take on Pamba in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 4 December 2026 at 16:15.
Mbeya City are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Pamba occupy 14th position with 6 points.
Mbeya City come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Pamba have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Mbeya City to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.78. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 58%.




Mbeya City have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Pamba have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Pamba have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Pamba concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.