The model estimates 1.43 goals for Kagera Sugar and 1.21 for Pamba. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Kagera Sugar and 6 for Pamba, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Kagera Sugar · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Kagera Sugar is going head to head with Pamba on December 29, 2026 at 18:30. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 16.
Kagera Sugar take on Pamba in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 29 December 2026 at 18:30.
Kagera Sugar are currently placed 15th in the table with 6 points, while Pamba occupy 14th position with 6 points.
Kagera Sugar come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Pamba have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Kagera Sugar have 2 wins against Pamba, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Kagera Sugar to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.64. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 55%.




Kagera Sugar have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Kagera Sugar's last 6 matches.
Pamba have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Pamba concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Pamba have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.