The model estimates 1.93 goals for Pamba and 1.00 for Kagera Sugar. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Pamba and 6 for Kagera Sugar, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Pamba · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Pamba is going head to head with Kagera Sugar on December 11, 2026 at 14:00. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 15.
Pamba take on Kagera Sugar in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 11 December 2026 at 14:00.
Pamba are currently placed 14th in the table with 6 points, while Kagera Sugar occupy 16th position with 6 points.
Pamba come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Kagera Sugar have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Kagera Sugar have 2 wins against Pamba, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Pamba to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.93. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 55%.




Pamba have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Pamba have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Pamba concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Kagera Sugar have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Kagera Sugar's last 6 matches.
Kagera Sugar have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.