The model estimates 1.62 goals for Mashujaa and 0.90 for Mbeya City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mashujaa and 6 for Mbeya City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mashujaa · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mashujaa is going head to head with Mbeya City on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 17.
Mashujaa take on Mbeya City in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Mashujaa are currently placed 10th in the table with 12 points, while Mbeya City occupy 11th position with 10 points.
Mashujaa come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mbeya City have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Mbeya City have 1 win against Mashujaa.
Prediction: Mashujaa to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.51. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 49%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Mashujaa's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Mashujaa's last 6 matches.
Mashujaa concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.