The model estimates 1.11 goals for Mbeya City and 1.10 for Coastal Union. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mbeya City and 6 for Coastal Union, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mbeya City · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mbeya City is going head to head with Coastal Union on December 11, 2026 at 16:15. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 15.
Mbeya City take on Coastal Union in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 11 December 2026 at 16:15.
Mbeya City are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Coastal Union occupy 10th position with 14 points.
Mbeya City come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Coastal Union have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Mbeya City to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.21. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 47%.




Mbeya City have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Coastal Union have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Coastal Union's last 6 matches.
Coastal Union have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.