The model estimates 2.22 goals for Maritsa Plovdiv and 0.85 for Lok. Plovdiv II. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Maritsa Plovdiv and 6 for Lok. Plovdiv II, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Maritsa Plovdiv · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Maritsa Plovdiv is going head to head with Lok. Plovdiv II on November 21, 2026 at 15:30. This match is part of Bulgaria Third League South East — Round 16.
Maritsa Plovdiv take on Lok. Plovdiv II in the Bulgaria Third League South East on 21 November 2026 at 15:30.
Maritsa Plovdiv are currently placed 13th in the table with 11 points, while Lok. Plovdiv II occupy 16th position with 8 points.
Maritsa Plovdiv come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lok. Plovdiv II have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Maritsa Plovdiv have 2 wins against Lok. Plovdiv II, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Maritsa Plovdiv to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.07. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 52%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Maritsa Plovdiv's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Maritsa Plovdiv have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Maritsa Plovdiv have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Lok. Plovdiv II have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Lok. Plovdiv II have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lok. Plovdiv II's last 6 matches.