The model estimates 1.90 goals for Sozopol and 1.23 for Maritsa Plovdiv. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sozopol and 6 for Maritsa Plovdiv, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sozopol · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sozopol is going head to head with Maritsa Plovdiv on November 28, 2026 at 15:30. This match is part of Bulgaria Third League South East — Round 17.
Sozopol take on Maritsa Plovdiv in the Bulgaria Third League South East on 28 November 2026 at 15:30.
Sozopol are currently placed 9th in the table with 16 points, while Maritsa Plovdiv occupy 14th position with 8 points.
Sozopol come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Maritsa Plovdiv have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, Maritsa Plovdiv have 6 wins against Sozopol, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Sozopol to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.13. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 61%.
SOZMARSOZMARSOZMARSOZMARSOZMARSOZMARSOZMARSOZMARSOZMARThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Sozopol's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Sozopol's last 6 matches.
Sozopol have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Maritsa Plovdiv have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Maritsa Plovdiv's last 6 matches.
Maritsa Plovdiv score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
