The model estimates 1.92 goals for Marine and 1.35 for Merthyr Town. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Marine and 6 for Merthyr Town, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Marine · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Marine is going head to head with Merthyr Town on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 28.
Marine take on Merthyr Town in the England National League North on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Marine are currently placed 20th in the table with 16 points, while Merthyr Town occupy 16th position with 19 points.
Marine come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Merthyr Town have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Marine have 2 wins against Merthyr Town.
Prediction: Marine to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.27. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 64%.
MARMERMARMERMARMERMARMERMARMERMARMERMARMERMARMERMARMERMarine have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Marine's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Marine's last 6 matches.
Merthyr Town have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Merthyr Town's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Merthyr Town have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
