The model estimates 1.26 goals for Mansilles and 1.19 for Palencia CF (Esp). These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mansilles and 6 for Palencia CF (Esp), before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mansilles · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mansilles is going head to head with Palencia CF (Esp) on November 15, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 8 — Round 11.
Mansilles take on Palencia CF (Esp) in the Spain Tercera Division Group 8 on 15 November 2026 at 20:00.
Mansilles are currently placed 9th in the table with 12 points, while Palencia CF (Esp) occupy 7th position with 14 points.
Mansilles come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Palencia CF (Esp) have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Mansilles have 2 wins against Palencia CF (Esp), with 1 draw.
Prediction: Mansilles to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.45. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 51%.


In their last 6 matches, Mansilles have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Mansilles have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Mansilles's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Palencia CF (Esp) have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Palencia CF (Esp) score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.