The model estimates 1.40 goals for CD Santa Marta and 0.76 for Mansilles. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for CD Santa Marta and 6 for Mansilles, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: CD Santa Marta · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
CD Santa Marta is going head to head with Mansilles on December 06, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 8 — Round 14.
CD Santa Marta take on Mansilles in the Spain Tercera Division Group 8 on 6 December 2026 at 20:00.
CD Santa Marta are currently placed 4th in the table with 17 points, while Mansilles occupy 8th position with 11 points.
CD Santa Marta come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mansilles have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: CD Santa Marta to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.16. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 42%.
In their last 6 matches, CD Santa Marta have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
CD Santa Marta have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
CD Santa Marta have won 5 of their last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mansilles have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Mansilles have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Mansilles's last 6 matches.