The model estimates 1.91 goals for Elche and 1.15 for Rayo Vallecano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Elche and 6 for Rayo Vallecano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Elche · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Elche is going head to head with Rayo Vallecano on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 21.
Elche take on Rayo Vallecano in the LaLiga on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Elche are currently placed 14th in the table with 10 points, while Rayo Vallecano occupy 15th position with 9 points.
Elche come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 30 recorded meetings, Elche have 20 wins against Rayo Vallecano, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Elche to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.06. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 60%.




In their last 6 matches, Elche have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Elche have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Elche have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rayo Vallecano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.